Creativity is allowing yourself to make mistakes. Art is knowing which ones to keep.
-Scott Adams (Dilbert)
You never really know for sure what is going to work, and what is going to fizzle.
1. It’s really difficult to make accurate predictions, because success often appears to be random.
2. Based on #1, it’s probably smart for you to initiate more projects that aren’t guaranteed winners, because most winners aren’t guaranteed.